Stakelbeck Tonight

Erick Stakelbeck: Iran Negotiations: What Happens Next? | Stakelbeck Tonight

April 9, 2026 | 23:29

From wars and rumors of war abroad, to the rise of anti-Christian, "woke" ideology here at home, it's clear that Americans are living in perilous and unprecedented times. Some would even say that we're witnessing biblical prophecy unfold in real time. Stakelbeck Tonight will make sense of these stunning developments through a bold and biblical lens.

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Stakelbeck Tonight | Erick Stakelbeck: Iran Negotiations: What Happens Next? | Stakelbeck Tonight | April 9, 2026

Welcome to stakelbeck tonight.
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I'm erick stakelbeck.
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And president ronald reagan had a rule
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When it came to dealing with the soviet union.
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Trust but verify.
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He knew the atheistic soviet regime was not very good
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About keeping its word.
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So he and his team followed up continuously to make sure
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The soviets were honoring what they had agreed to trust.
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But verify.
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When it comes to the iranian regime today.
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The challenge is even greater.
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How can you have any sort
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Of credible deal with a radical islamic death cult
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Whose religion permits them to deceive non-muslim infidels?
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The answer is you can.
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With iran, the approach must be don't trust, but verify.
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Thankfully, president trump realizes this.
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He knows there's a very good chance
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Iran's regime will break
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The two week cease fire that went into effect on tuesday.
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And he's already warning the ayatollahs.
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The president posted last night that all u.s.
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Ships, aircraft and military personnel
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With additional ammunition, weaponry
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And anything else that is appropriate
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And necessary for the lethal prosecution
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And destruction of an already substantially degraded enemy,
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Will remain in place in and around iran until such time
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As the real agreement reached is fully complied with.
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He threatened further military action if iran does not
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Comply, and reiterated two red lines for the regime.
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It must renounce its pursuit of nuclear weapons,
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And it must keep the strait of hormuz open.
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In addition, the president fully expects iran to give up
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Any enriched uranium that it currently possesses
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And its ballistic missile program and halt
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Its support of terror groups like hezbollah.
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A tall order for the mad mullahs.
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And it's unclear whether they will agree
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The next two weeks will tell the tale.
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In the meantime, as of now, the cease fire does not extend
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To lebanon, where iran's hezbollah
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Minions just suffered a massive blow.
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On wednesday, israel struck 100 high value hezbollah targets
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Across lebanon in the span of just ten minutes.
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Up to 300 hezbollah operatives are said
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To have been killed, including several top commanders.
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Hezbollah had reportedly been planning a violent coup
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To seize lebanon's government when israel acted.
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Now israel began direct negotiations with lebanon today
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So we could soon see the cease fire reached there as well.
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But folks, make no mistake about it.
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Hezbollah
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And their iranian masters are a shell of what they were
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When the united states and israel launched
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Their historic joint operation on february 28th.
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That's a very good thing for the people of iran
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And lebanon, not to mention israel, america,
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The broader middle east, and the entire free world.
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So will the cease fire hold.
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And what comes next in the world's most chaotic
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And strategic region?
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Israeli special forces veteran aaron cohen is here to
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Break it down. next.
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Did israel just prevent a
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Hezbollah takeover of lebanon's government?
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New reports reveal
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A potential hezbollah plot to seize control from within.
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Foiled by massive israeli airstrikes.
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Now, with cease fire talks ongoing and iran continuing
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To play a double game.
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The big question is what comes next?
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Joining us to break it down
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Is aaron cohen and israeli special operations veteran
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And one of the world's leading experts
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On counterterrorism, intelligence and urban warfare.
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He's also founder
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Of the gideon threat detection for law enforcement
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And host of the aaron cohen show.
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Aaron, always great to see you, my friend.
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It seems that israel uncovered this plot by hezbollah
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To essentially overthrow the lebanese government.
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Aaron, what more do we know about this?
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And lebanon apparently averted a major disaster here, thanks
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To the israeli air force.
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That's right.
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Erick, always good to be on with you.
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So what israel uncovered here,
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Wasn't routine military activity.
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This was a very structure.
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Structured takeover attempt.
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Hezbollah spent decades building a parallel state
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Inside of lebanon.
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Its own military, its own intelligence apparatus.
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I don't think people understand exactly what's involved.
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Its own command structure, that operates
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Independently of the lebanese government.
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And so what israeli intelligence likely picked up.
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And that would be the amon,
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The august modine, the intelligence
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Branch of the idf, as well as unit 504,
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Which is israel's human intelligence gathering unit.
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What they like they picked up was a transition point.
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Erick, is what we refer to it as nick transitioned and where
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That shadow system stops operating behind the scenes
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And starts formalizing control is sort of how we explain it.
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And that's the moment
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A country doesn't just have a terrorist problem.
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It becomes controlled by one.
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And in this case,
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That means that lebanon effectively was becoming
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An iranian controlled state on israel's northern border.
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So very significant. what just happened? yeah.
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How close did they come around
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To actually seizing lebanon's government? hezbollah?
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And what does this say about
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Hezbollah's long term strategy for lebanon?
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Erick, it's a very smart question.
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They were very, very close.
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And that's the uncomfortable reality of the neighborhood.
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Hezbollah already dominates southern lebanon militarily,
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Even though israel significantly weaken them.
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And they've embedded themselves very deeply into the political
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System in beirut.
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And so over time, they've hollowed out,
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The authority of the central government while strengthening,
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Their influence.
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And so they already have it.
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And so what israel likely saw was the final phase
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Intelligence.
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Israel's intelligence saw the final phase of that,
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Consolidation, i guess, is the best term
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Where hezbollah moves from de-facto power to formal,
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Irreversible control of the state apparatus.
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And that's very, very dangerous for israel.
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It's very dangerous for the region.
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Yeah. aaron, great breakdown and reporter.
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Look, hezbollah has lost some 1400 fighters over the past
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Two years or so.
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How heavy of the blows been dealt to hezbollah?
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They seem to be a shell of their former self at this point.
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Yeah.
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So the number is extremely significant.
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Erick, in my opinion, operation, i'll tell you why
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You're not just talking
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About rank and file fighters here or terror fighters.
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You're talking about very experienced terrorist operators.
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That would be the unit leaders, the,
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Mid-level commanders who hold the organization together.
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You know, that's the real meat and potatoes inside there.
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And so when you lose that layer, what's going to happen
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Is you're going to lose coordination.
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You're going to lose the,
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Tactical decision making as well as the institutional,
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Memory, i guess, is the best way to, to, to describe it.
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And so, these are not very easily replaceable pieces here.
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And so while hezbollah can recruit new fighters,
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Which they're probably already doing, rebuilding that level.
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Excuse me of capability, erick, that takes years,
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Especially under sustained pressure
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From israeli ongoing operations,
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Which is what you're seeing here right now. yeah.
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And the israeli operations by the way, aaron,
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And you know this so well, israeli intelligence here.
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Incredible job.
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Some are saying the strikes
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Yesterday on hezbollah were the most significant
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Since the beeper operation back in september 2024.
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Hezbollah now apparently begging for a cease fire.
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Surely iran would like to see that.
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What's the status there?
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I know israel and lebanon have been direct negotiations now.
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Could we see that cease fire extend to lebanon very soon?
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I think we could.
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I mean, there's there's clear signal
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That hezbollah is under stress. iran doesn't push.
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Look around us and push for pauses
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When the proxy is winning.
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Erick.
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They do it when they need to preserve
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What's remaining, what's left.
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And so to me, it suggests that hezbollah is taking losses
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That are affecting their operational capacity.
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So, it isn't, you know, this isn't them
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Being strategic here and being patient.
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I think it's tehran stepping in to stabilize
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What's left of a deteriorating situation, to prevent further
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Degradation of one of its most important assets.
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You take away, hezbollah.
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Erick, you're swiping away half of iran's identity.
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So that's why i'm out with that.
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No doubt hezbollah is the crown jewel in that iranian fire.
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Aaron. great breakdown as always, my friend.
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You'll be right back with us after the break, folks,
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What is the status of the cease fire between iran
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And the united states? what comes next?
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More with israeli special forces veteran aaron cohen
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After the break. stick around.
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After the break. stick around.
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Welcome back to stakelbeck tonight.
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He is one of the world's foremost experts
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On counter-terrorism.
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He's an israeli special forces veteran.
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He's host of the aaron cohen show and founder of gideon
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Threat detection for law enforcement.
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The one and only aaron cohen is back with us.
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Aaron, it's been very interesting
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The past few days, instructive, really,
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To see the democrat party, the mainstream media,
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And i would say the wacko wing, tucker carlson and those sorts
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All basically declaring that
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Israel and the united states lost this war
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And iran comes out of it even stronger.
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What's your take on that, aaron?
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Because just surveying the scene, it seems to me
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That the iranian regime suffered heavy, heavy losses
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That will take many years to recover from.
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Erick, i want to be clear about this.
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It's why don't listen to the grifters.
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It's it's there's a lot of foreign influence right now.
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I believe that's connected to a lot of these podcasters.
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I'm not going to get into all of that right now,
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But i will tell you that the only reason why this pause,
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The only reason why
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There's a ceasefire on the table right now,
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Is because of what we call in hebrew. that's sealed alarcon.
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So that pressure, which is what created the pause.
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So the amount of damage that was done
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By the united states and israel, working together
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In this counterterrorism elite coalition
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Is the over 12,000 sorties and strikes that occurred,
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By the united states and by israel, not to mention
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The over 200 leaders that were assassinated
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And taken out by the israeli defense forces
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Through that mossad grade intelligence.
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Then add to that the fact that 90% of the irgc navy
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Has been completely eliminated.
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Another 5 to 600
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Drone and missile nodes have been destroyed.
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So this isn't a traditional, cease fire.
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This was pressure based.
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The negotiations are only happening
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Because i ran, realized that if they didn't sit down
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And start negotiating, they were going to be killed.
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The fact is, is that the damage was so incredible
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That this forced the regime to make a decision.
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Either come to the table
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Or you're going to get completely eliminated. aaron.
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Well said.
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And you have said this is more a pressure pause,
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Than a cease fire.
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And by the way, president trump is saying that he believes
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This is a sort of productive regime change in iran.
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We still have elements of the regime in power, of course.
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What do you make of that?
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Is could this be classified as a regime change of sorts,
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Or is that off the table
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Until this regime is completely cast into
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The ash heap of history?
00:12:24.935 --> 00:12:26.670
Erick, i think that phrase,
00:12:27.270 --> 00:12:29.506
The actual phrase productive regime change, i think what
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It reflects, is internal weakening of the regime period.
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It hasn't collapsed, but it's been significantly destabilized.
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The leadership, is under pressure control mechanisms,
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Which are completely strained at this point.
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There's cracks that are forming.
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I can tell you from my sources in israel in the middle
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Right now.
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And that's how regime change begins.
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This isn't overnight,
00:12:54.731 --> 00:12:56.066
But through sustained external and internal pressure.
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You know, this saturday, aaron in islamabad, pakistan,
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Vice president j.d.
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Vance, along with jared kushner, steve
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Wyckoff will lead negotiations with the regime.
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What do you expect to come out of this?
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Anything good?
00:13:12.282 --> 00:13:13.516
Will this cease fire really hold the full two weeks? who knows.
00:13:13.516 --> 00:13:15.952
But what do you expect this weekend?
00:13:15.952 --> 00:13:18.088
I think,
00:13:18.355 --> 00:13:19.356
Erick, in the short term that it might hold,
00:13:19.356 --> 00:13:20.490
But i think structurally i'm not sure if it will.
00:13:20.490 --> 00:13:22.926
And i'm being i'm being
00:13:22.926 --> 00:13:24.361
I hate to use the term realistic, it's very israeli,
00:13:24.361 --> 00:13:26.663
But i think it speaks to directly what we're seeing here.
00:13:26.663 --> 00:13:28.965
Iran strategic objectives, erick, have hasn't changed
00:13:28.965 --> 00:13:32.402
And neither has their ideology.
00:13:32.402 --> 00:13:34.170
And what that that's without that fundamental change.
00:13:34.170 --> 00:13:37.674
Any pause in my opinion, is temporary.
00:13:37.674 --> 00:13:39.643
But erick, it's cool the moment iran does not want to play ball
00:13:39.643 --> 00:13:44.414
Operations will resume,
00:13:44.414 --> 00:13:47.450
Which means hammering the irgc gcc's remaining nodes.
00:13:47.450 --> 00:13:51.321
And don't forget
00:13:51.321 --> 00:13:52.889
The the world has not seen the level of damage
00:13:52.889 --> 00:13:55.625
That israel has done
00:13:55.625 --> 00:13:57.160
Because iran has kept the internet shut off.
00:13:57.160 --> 00:13:59.763
But i can assure you it is monstrous
00:13:59.763 --> 00:14:02.766
And iran is feeling it right now.
00:14:02.766 --> 00:14:04.768
So the next question is, is how you would,
00:14:04.768 --> 00:14:07.070
Prevent that rebuilt? yeah. yeah.
00:14:07.070 --> 00:14:09.773
Which would be their nuclear program in particular,
00:14:09.773 --> 00:14:12.943
Of course. aaron, how do you prevent that?
00:14:12.943 --> 00:14:14.611
Look, the twin threat, right?
00:14:14.611 --> 00:14:16.246
Ballistic missiles, nuclear weapons.
00:14:16.246 --> 00:14:18.982
How do you prevent that going forward?
00:14:18.982 --> 00:14:21.184
You know, i said at the top of the show,
00:14:21.184 --> 00:14:22.752
Ronald reagan, you say about the soviets trust
00:14:22.752 --> 00:14:24.955
But verify with iran's ayatollahs it's don't trust
00:14:24.955 --> 00:14:28.491
But verify.
00:14:28.491 --> 00:14:29.359
How do we prevent them from rebuilding?
00:14:29.359 --> 00:14:32.062
Constant pressure. erick.
00:14:32.062 --> 00:14:33.797
Sanctions enforcement, more deep israeli driven intelligence
00:14:33.797 --> 00:14:38.368
Monitoring, active disruption of the supply chains.
00:14:38.368 --> 00:14:41.571
The moment they start to stand that up,
00:14:41.571 --> 00:14:43.306
Putting more back in there, we hit it again.
00:14:43.306 --> 00:14:45.141
And you have to close every pathway.
00:14:45.141 --> 00:14:47.911
Erick. they used to rebuild.
00:14:47.911 --> 00:14:49.679
If you give them space, they will use it.
00:14:49.679 --> 00:14:52.615
This is a deranged lunatic.
00:14:52.615 --> 00:14:56.186
Ideology.
00:14:56.486 --> 00:14:57.454
You've just got to keep those pathways
00:14:57.454 --> 00:14:59.422
Completely shut off and hit them the moment those intel packets
00:14:59.422 --> 00:15:02.625
Come in.
00:15:02.625 --> 00:15:03.093
Yeah.
00:15:03.093 --> 00:15:04.127
One of the big accomplishments of this operation,
00:15:04.127 --> 00:15:05.261
Aaron, has been the elimination
00:15:05.261 --> 00:15:06.696
Of supreme leader ayatollah khamenei.
00:15:06.696 --> 00:15:08.932
Now, his son mojtaba has been named his successor.
00:15:08.932 --> 00:15:12.369
But we haven't seen him very much over the past five weeks.
00:15:12.369 --> 00:15:15.205
There's been reports he's been gravely injured.
00:15:15.205 --> 00:15:17.841
Perhaps even dead.
00:15:17.841 --> 00:15:19.409
What's his status?
00:15:19.409 --> 00:15:20.510
Do we know anything further?
00:15:20.510 --> 00:15:21.678
And who exactly is calling the shots in iran right now?
00:15:21.678 --> 00:15:24.647
Erick, it's a good question.
00:15:25.248 --> 00:15:26.249
Right now, we don't know whether he is
00:15:26.249 --> 00:15:28.051
Or not out of the picture.
00:15:28.051 --> 00:15:29.619
Likely what we're looking at internally
00:15:29.619 --> 00:15:31.521
Is probably going to be competition
00:15:31.521 --> 00:15:32.922
Within the regime, particularly amongst the,
00:15:32.922 --> 00:15:35.592
Remain remanded, e.m.s.
00:15:35.592 --> 00:15:37.694
Or irgc leadership.
00:15:37.694 --> 00:15:39.763
Obviously, there's i think there's a ton
00:15:39.763 --> 00:15:41.364
Of instability that's happening inside.
00:15:41.364 --> 00:15:43.099
Right now.
00:15:43.099 --> 00:15:44.200
I think there's a ton of uncertainty.
00:15:44.200 --> 00:15:46.603
And so, really just depending
00:15:46.603 --> 00:15:49.005
On, who decides to step up,
00:15:49.005 --> 00:15:53.410
Is yet to be determined.
00:15:53.943 --> 00:15:55.278
You know, as that grass grows, we keep chopping it down.
00:15:55.278 --> 00:15:57.680
And so, i can't really tell you,
00:15:57.680 --> 00:16:01.684
But i think that there's people inside of israel in the us,
00:16:01.684 --> 00:16:05.321
Command that are keeping an eye on that very closely.
00:16:06.389 --> 00:16:09.325
Yeah. aaron. about 45 seconds left.
00:16:09.325 --> 00:16:11.261
Then we'll bring you right back after the break.
00:16:11.261 --> 00:16:12.796
You would think that there's got to be disarray
00:16:12.796 --> 00:16:15.331
Right within the regime right now.
00:16:15.331 --> 00:16:16.866
Maybe some infighting, some uncertainty.
00:16:16.866 --> 00:16:19.969
Do you sense that that may be the case in iran right now?
00:16:19.969 --> 00:16:23.673
Do. in fact, i think the iranian people
00:16:24.507 --> 00:16:26.376
Have wanted change for a long time,
00:16:26.376 --> 00:16:28.078
If that's what you're drilling.
00:16:28.078 --> 00:16:29.012
And i think that,
00:16:29.012 --> 00:16:30.513
I think that there's movement in that direction.
00:16:30.513 --> 00:16:32.582
Right now.
00:16:32.582 --> 00:16:33.616
I think that all of this instability right now
00:16:33.616 --> 00:16:34.717
That trump's created has caused that pressure
00:16:34.717 --> 00:16:36.786
To start exposing the weaknesses within the system.
00:16:36.786 --> 00:16:39.589
I think that we could see this thing continuously.
00:16:39.589 --> 00:16:42.659
Keep opening up, erick.
00:16:42.659 --> 00:16:43.760
I'm optimistic.
00:16:43.760 --> 00:16:44.727
And remember, once israel and the u.s.
00:16:44.727 --> 00:16:46.896
Turn the lights off, if they decide to
00:16:46.896 --> 00:16:48.631
Go after any of that power,
00:16:48.631 --> 00:16:51.234
That's going to create an incredible amount of chaos.
00:16:51.234 --> 00:16:53.870
And there's 90 million people ready to stand up.
00:16:53.870 --> 00:16:56.906
Once that chaos starts. so,
00:16:56.906 --> 00:16:59.809
At the end of the day, eric, we've set them back ten years.
00:16:59.809 --> 00:17:03.713
We've already won.
00:17:03.713 --> 00:17:05.348
Yeah. amen.
00:17:05.348 --> 00:17:06.549
Aaron. great breakdown, folks.
00:17:06.549 --> 00:17:07.851
Follow him on instagram across social media,
00:17:07.851 --> 00:17:10.053
Of course, youtube, the aaron cohen show
00:17:10.053 --> 00:17:12.288
And more with aaron after the break, we're talking
00:17:12.288 --> 00:17:14.691
Strait of hormuz.
00:17:14.691 --> 00:17:15.825
What about that enriched uranium inside iran?
00:17:15.825 --> 00:17:18.394
And what about the future of the nato alliance?
00:17:18.394 --> 00:17:20.897
More with aaron cohen after the break.
00:17:20.897 --> 00:17:23.133
Don█t move.
00:17:23.133 --> 00:17:26.007
Don█t move.
00:17:26.007 --> 00:17:28.974
Welcome back to stakelbeck tonight
00:17:29.708 --> 00:17:31.243
We're talking to our good friend aaron cohen
00:17:31.243 --> 00:17:33.178
About the state of play in iran right now.
00:17:33.178 --> 00:17:36.047
Aaron, obviously a massive issue here is the strait of hormuz.
00:17:36.047 --> 00:17:39.918
President trump is demanding
00:17:39.918 --> 00:17:41.386
That the iranian regime keep that vital waterway open.
00:17:41.386 --> 00:17:45.023
What if they don't?
00:17:45.023 --> 00:17:46.258
I guess that's the big question. how does that impact things?
00:17:46.258 --> 00:17:48.793
How crucial
00:17:48.793 --> 00:17:49.895
Is the strait of hormuz to the overall picture here?
00:17:49.895 --> 00:17:53.198
Well, listen, it's,
00:17:53.198 --> 00:17:54.432
It's a major escalation point, erick, you're looking at disrupt
00:17:54.432 --> 00:17:56.501
Disruption to, global oil markets.
00:17:56.501 --> 00:17:58.904
We're already feeling it, certainly here in california.
00:17:58.904 --> 00:18:01.473
Economic shockwaves.
00:18:01.473 --> 00:18:02.874
My contention is that there
00:18:02.874 --> 00:18:05.177
If the irgc does not open up that strait
00:18:05.177 --> 00:18:09.181
Within the next week to two weeks, by the end of this deal,
00:18:09.181 --> 00:18:13.685
You're likely going to see
00:18:13.685 --> 00:18:14.653
Military response is to reopen the strait.
00:18:14.653 --> 00:18:17.656
It's really iran's last major leverage point.
00:18:17.656 --> 00:18:21.092
Trump, his team. israel.
00:18:21.092 --> 00:18:24.095
They will not have it.
00:18:24.095 --> 00:18:25.463
So if they hold on to that little last point
00:18:25.463 --> 00:18:28.533
That strait will immediately see operations, in my opinion.
00:18:28.533 --> 00:18:32.204
Yeah, that's.
00:18:32.204 --> 00:18:32.871
A red line and also a red line
00:18:32.871 --> 00:18:34.005
For both israel and the united states.
00:18:34.005 --> 00:18:35.941
Aaron, is iran's enriched
00:18:35.941 --> 00:18:37.609
Uranium now president trump wants iran any existing uranium.
00:18:37.609 --> 00:18:41.213
And i suppose a lot of it's buried
00:18:41.213 --> 00:18:42.614
Under the rubble of those destroyed iranian nuclear sites.
00:18:42.614 --> 00:18:45.417
But he wants any existing uranium on iranian
00:18:45.417 --> 00:18:48.420
Soil ferreted out of the country.
00:18:48.420 --> 00:18:51.523
How do we make that happen?
00:18:51.523 --> 00:18:52.724
Does iran agree to that? how do you see
00:18:52.724 --> 00:18:54.759
The enriched uranium dilemma right now in iran?
00:18:54.759 --> 00:18:58.930
Erick, it's complex.
00:18:59.397 --> 00:19:00.565
It's a multi-phase operation, but it's always doable.
00:19:00.565 --> 00:19:04.035
And, and and of course, they should know,
00:19:04.035 --> 00:19:06.037
Like we say, in hebrew, there's no,
00:19:06.037 --> 00:19:07.405
Way it's not going to get sorted out,
00:19:07.405 --> 00:19:09.007
Especially when it comes to the,
00:19:09.007 --> 00:19:10.342
Uranium and the nuclear capability.
00:19:10.342 --> 00:19:12.410
I think this is going to be a multi-phase operation.
00:19:12.410 --> 00:19:15.013
You're going to identify and secure the nuclear sites.
00:19:15.013 --> 00:19:17.349
Israel's are we going to have that intelligence?
00:19:17.349 --> 00:19:19.284
They're going to be able to action it.
00:19:19.284 --> 00:19:20.685
You're you're going to have to extract
00:19:20.685 --> 00:19:22.120
And neutralize those materials.
00:19:22.120 --> 00:19:23.688
It's probably going to likely involve special operations units
00:19:23.688 --> 00:19:26.725
Combined with those be, two cluster bombs again.
00:19:26.725 --> 00:19:29.761
And then you're gonna have to maintain
00:19:29.761 --> 00:19:31.229
Long term monitoring to ensure compliance.
00:19:31.229 --> 00:19:34.933
And that's going to involve
00:19:34.933 --> 00:19:36.601
Physical inspections at the end of the deal,
00:19:36.601 --> 00:19:39.371
Which is probably going to be sprinkled or layered,
00:19:39.371 --> 00:19:41.740
Layered in erick, with, long term electronic
00:19:41.740 --> 00:19:45.877
And intelligence gathering from israel
00:19:45.877 --> 00:19:48.046
To make sure that the iranians are not lying.
00:19:48.046 --> 00:19:50.382
The mullahs are liars. it's embedded in their dna.
00:19:50.382 --> 00:19:53.151
So it's not a one time strike.
00:19:53.151 --> 00:19:54.953
It's going to be an ongoing control effort.
00:19:54.953 --> 00:19:56.821
But the good news is, is that, again,
00:19:56.821 --> 00:19:58.423
We've pushed him back a decade.
00:19:58.423 --> 00:20:00.091
We've trimmed that grass.
00:20:00.091 --> 00:20:01.393
And so everything moving forward here is a gift, as you said.
00:20:01.393 --> 00:20:03.762
Yeah, the regime will never be what it once was.
00:20:03.762 --> 00:20:06.264
That has been accomplished
00:20:06.264 --> 00:20:07.332
And more over the past five and a half weeks.
00:20:07.332 --> 00:20:09.401
Aaron, what's also been reestablished and confirmed is,
00:20:09.401 --> 00:20:12.704
In my view,
00:20:12.704 --> 00:20:13.838
That israel is america's greatest ally in the world.
00:20:13.838 --> 00:20:16.708
And it's not even close.
00:20:16.708 --> 00:20:17.909
I look at great britain, canada, france, germany, spain,
00:20:17.909 --> 00:20:21.212
The list goes on.
00:20:21.212 --> 00:20:22.147
Aaron, nato,
00:20:22.147 --> 00:20:23.248
Our european allies have taken a complete pass here.
00:20:23.248 --> 00:20:26.117
They had a unique opportunity
00:20:26.117 --> 00:20:27.252
To help defend judeo-christian western civilization.
00:20:27.252 --> 00:20:31.189
They decided to take a past.
00:20:31.189 --> 00:20:32.824
President trump is not happy with nato.
00:20:32.824 --> 00:20:34.759
What do you see as the future of the nato alliance?
00:20:34.759 --> 00:20:37.562
Is there a future for nato?
00:20:37.562 --> 00:20:39.364
I wouldn't be surprised if trump pulls out.
00:20:39.364 --> 00:20:41.232
If they don't get their act together.
00:20:41.232 --> 00:20:42.267
I mean, look, erick, this one's about leverage.
00:20:42.267 --> 00:20:44.469
President trump is pushing nato to carry more of the burden.
00:20:44.469 --> 00:20:46.971
If they don't, i wouldn't be surprised if the u.s.
00:20:46.971 --> 00:20:49.140
Pulls out,
00:20:49.140 --> 00:20:50.241
What percentage of the bill is the americans paying?
00:20:50.241 --> 00:20:52.844
So i don't think it's about abandoning any alliances here.
00:20:52.844 --> 00:20:55.613
I think it's about recalibrating them
00:20:55.613 --> 00:20:57.816
So that they get on board.
00:20:57.816 --> 00:20:59.517
The fact is, we've been carrying them for years.
00:20:59.517 --> 00:21:01.920
And either they get down with the united states,
00:21:01.920 --> 00:21:04.189
They start getting involved, or it's time to pull out.
00:21:04.189 --> 00:21:06.191
Because honestly, that organization
00:21:06.191 --> 00:21:07.392
Has been a waste of our time for for many years.
00:21:07.392 --> 00:21:10.261
Yeah. well, said my friend, about a minute left.
00:21:10.261 --> 00:21:12.530
Do you see new alliances forming?
00:21:12.530 --> 00:21:14.799
I think of the uae, arab gulf states, israel of course.
00:21:14.799 --> 00:21:18.002
Could we see some a new trajectory here in america
00:21:18.002 --> 00:21:21.406
In terms of the nations
00:21:21.406 --> 00:21:22.507
America leans on and aligns with in the future?
00:21:22.507 --> 00:21:24.709
About a minute left.
00:21:24.709 --> 00:21:26.144
I do, erick,
00:21:26.144 --> 00:21:26.978
And i think that there's
00:21:26.978 --> 00:21:27.846
Some great look,
00:21:27.846 --> 00:21:28.813
The whole point
00:21:28.813 --> 00:21:30.014
Of wiping out the irgc, erick, besides getting after that,
00:21:30.014 --> 00:21:32.584
Uranium and degrading their missile capabilities is about,
00:21:32.584 --> 00:21:36.821
Eradicating the mullahs threat from the region.
00:21:36.821 --> 00:21:39.557
They've been the bulldog for almost 50 years.
00:21:39.557 --> 00:21:41.893
And what we're watching right now is the systematic rollback
00:21:41.893 --> 00:21:45.230
Of iran's regional power, which includes hezbollah.
00:21:45.230 --> 00:21:48.733
So this is long overdue,
00:21:48.733 --> 00:21:51.136
This correction, and it's going to open up
00:21:51.136 --> 00:21:52.904
A whole new wave of allies in the region.
00:21:52.904 --> 00:21:55.273
And we look forward to those relationships
00:21:55.273 --> 00:21:58.109
And what it's going to bring, moving into the future
00:21:58.109 --> 00:22:00.912
With these types of partners in the middle east.
00:22:00.912 --> 00:22:03.014
It's very exciting. yeah, aaron great stuff.
00:22:03.014 --> 00:22:05.183
The sky is the limit.
00:22:05.183 --> 00:22:06.351
I mean, a real sense of optimism in the world's
00:22:06.351 --> 00:22:08.987
Most volatile region in the middle east.
00:22:08.987 --> 00:22:10.789
For the first time in at least 47 years
00:22:10.789 --> 00:22:13.024
Since that regime in tehran took power.
00:22:13.024 --> 00:22:14.959
But aaron, great break down, folks.
00:22:14.959 --> 00:22:16.728
Check him out on the aaron cohen show. gideon.
00:22:16.728 --> 00:22:19.063
Threat detection
00:22:19.063 --> 00:22:20.031
For law enforcement doing incredible work
00:22:20.031 --> 00:22:21.599
There ex instagram across social media
00:22:21.599 --> 00:22:24.335
Aaron great job as always my friend. god bless.
00:22:24.335 --> 00:22:26.371
Keep up the great work.
00:22:26.371 --> 00:22:27.172
We will see you again soon.
00:22:27.172 --> 00:22:28.506
And up next, my final thoughts on the state of play.
00:22:28.506 --> 00:22:31.576
What can we expect in the next two weeks and long term
00:22:31.576 --> 00:22:35.346
That's next. stick around.
00:22:35.346 --> 00:22:39.005
That's next. stick around.
00:22:39.005 --> 00:22:41.785
Welcome back to stakelbeck tonight.
00:22:42.553 --> 00:22:43.987
What a great break down
00:22:43.987 --> 00:22:44.955
From our good friend aaron cohen tonight.
00:22:44.955 --> 00:22:46.623
And folks were talking about ceasefires.
00:22:46.623 --> 00:22:48.692
Will they come.
00:22:48.692 --> 00:22:49.927
Will they hold what comes next i think of the gospel of matthew
00:22:49.927 --> 00:22:52.830
Chapter 24 verse six.
00:22:52.830 --> 00:22:54.398
Jesus said, you will hear of wars and rumors of wars,
00:22:54.398 --> 00:22:58.235
But see to it that you are not alarmed.
00:22:58.235 --> 00:23:00.471
Such things must happen, but the end is still to come.
00:23:00.471 --> 00:23:04.374
That means we still have time
00:23:04.374 --> 00:23:06.109
To be ambassadors for christ, to spread the gospel,
00:23:06.109 --> 00:23:08.946
And to spread the truth for such a time as this.
00:23:08.946 --> 00:23:11.281
So let's get busy.
00:23:11.281 --> 00:23:12.916
Tomorrow night we're in tel dan in the holy land.
00:23:12.916 --> 00:23:15.986
Israel. folks, you won't want to miss this.
00:23:15.986 --> 00:23:17.788
Abraham's gate.
00:23:17.788 --> 00:23:18.989
Amazing ancient site.
00:23:18.989 --> 00:23:20.457
Until then, god bless you and we'll see you soon.
00:23:20.457 --> 00:23:20.457

Erick Stakelbeck: Iran Negotiations: What Happens Next? | Stakelbeck Tonight

April 9, 2026 | 23:29

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