From wars and rumors of war abroad, to the rise of anti-Christian, "woke" ideology here at home, it's clear that Americans are living in perilous and unprecedented times. Some would even say that we're witnessing biblical prophecy unfold in real time. Stakelbeck Tonight will make sense of these stunning developments through a bold and biblical lens.
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Stakelbeck Tonight | Erick Stakelbeck: The Stakes Are High | Stakelbeck Tonight | February 17, 2026
- Welcome to stakelbeck tonight i'm erick stakelbeck
- 00:00:18.274 --> 00:00:20.844
- And we've seen this script before.
- 00:00:20.844 --> 00:00:23.213
- Iran's regime now
- 00:00:23.213 --> 00:00:24.447
- Says it will present detailed proposals to the united states
- 00:00:24.447 --> 00:00:28.284
- Within the next two weeks regarding its nuclear program.
- 00:00:28.284 --> 00:00:32.222
- This very flimsy promise came as round two of nuclear talks
- 00:00:32.222 --> 00:00:36.192
- Between the u.s.
- 00:00:36.192 --> 00:00:37.060
- And iran took place today in geneva.
- 00:00:37.060 --> 00:00:39.963
- And folks, it all sounds very familiar.
- 00:00:39.963 --> 00:00:42.799
- Iran dragging out negotiations and buying time in an attempt
- 00:00:42.799 --> 00:00:47.604
- To lull the west
- 00:00:47.604 --> 00:00:49.038
- Into a terrible nuclear deal
- 00:00:49.038 --> 00:00:51.007
- That would leave the ayatollahs in power.
- 00:00:51.007 --> 00:00:53.443
- Now it worked back in 2015 with barack obama.
- 00:00:53.443 --> 00:00:56.913
- But president trump is a different story.
- 00:00:56.913 --> 00:01:00.350
- The massive u.s.
- 00:01:00.350 --> 00:01:01.384
- Military buildup at iran's doorstep continues,
- 00:01:01.384 --> 00:01:04.754
- And it seems that an attack against the world's number one
- 00:01:04.754 --> 00:01:08.424
- State sponsor of terrorism could be imminent,
- 00:01:08.424 --> 00:01:11.461
- Especially if the ongoing negotiations fail.
- 00:01:11.461 --> 00:01:15.532
- What would that mean for the u.s., israel
- 00:01:15.532 --> 00:01:18.935
- And the iranian people?
- 00:01:18.935 --> 00:01:20.603
- What comes next in the world's most volatile and strategic
- 00:01:20.603 --> 00:01:24.274
- Region, the middle east, and how does it affect you?
- 00:01:24.274 --> 00:01:27.777
- Joining us now to break it down is our good friend,
- 00:01:27.777 --> 00:01:29.679
- Lieutenant colonel jonathan conricus,
- 00:01:29.679 --> 00:01:31.681
- Former international spokesman for the israel defense forces
- 00:01:31.681 --> 00:01:35.084
- And now a senior fellow
- 00:01:35.084 --> 00:01:36.753
- At the foundation for defense of democracies
- 00:01:36.753 --> 00:01:39.589
- In washington, d.c..
- 00:01:39.589 --> 00:01:40.957
- Jonathan, great to see, my friend.
- 00:01:40.957 --> 00:01:42.492
- Great to have you here in studio with us.
- 00:01:42.492 --> 00:01:44.327
- Thank you.
- 00:01:44.327 --> 00:01:45.195
- And look for negotiations right now
- 00:01:45.195 --> 00:01:47.463
- On going round two today in geneva.
- 00:01:47.463 --> 00:01:50.800
- Jonathan, what is your thought it will
- 00:01:50.800 --> 00:01:52.702
- These negotiations with the iranian regime
- 00:01:52.702 --> 00:01:55.205
- Ultimately bear fruit like they never have in the past?
- 00:01:55.205 --> 00:01:58.741
- Is this a new day in diplomacy with iran or the same old story?
- 00:01:58.741 --> 00:02:02.845
- Well, you see, the talented
- 00:02:02.845 --> 00:02:04.314
- And experienced iranian negotiators hard at work,
- 00:02:04.314 --> 00:02:07.383
- Working overtime in order to do exactly what you said,
- 00:02:07.383 --> 00:02:10.753
- To basically buy time
- 00:02:10.753 --> 00:02:12.789
- And wait for something else big to happen.
- 00:02:12.789 --> 00:02:15.391
- That'll divert
- 00:02:15.391 --> 00:02:16.526
- Attention away from what the iranians are trying to do.
- 00:02:16.526 --> 00:02:19.429
- I think the level of trust between the two sides, u.s.
- 00:02:19.429 --> 00:02:22.565
- And iran, is very low, rightfully so.
- 00:02:22.565 --> 00:02:25.335
- We know that the iranians are skilled
- 00:02:25.335 --> 00:02:27.937
- Deceivers and diplomatic,
- 00:02:27.937 --> 00:02:30.540
- And they're very crafty when it comes to using
- 00:02:30.540 --> 00:02:32.976
- Time and diplomacy.
- 00:02:32.976 --> 00:02:34.210
- But at the end of the day, the u.s.,
- 00:02:34.210 --> 00:02:35.979
- I think this administration knows how to see through that
- 00:02:35.979 --> 00:02:39.382
- And carries a big stick here with the very clear message
- 00:02:39.382 --> 00:02:43.453
- This time is different.
- 00:02:43.453 --> 00:02:44.787
- Now, what i think we should be mindful
- 00:02:44.787 --> 00:02:47.557
- Of is that the minimum that the iranians are willing
- 00:02:47.557 --> 00:02:51.661
- To negotiate does not meet america's minimum here.
- 00:02:51.661 --> 00:02:55.632
- We don't see common ground because,
- 00:02:55.632 --> 00:02:58.268
- You know, we've been here before.
- 00:02:58.268 --> 00:03:00.003
- We need to talk about zero enrichment on iranian soil.
- 00:03:00.003 --> 00:03:03.873
- No further ability for the iranians to enrich anything.
- 00:03:03.873 --> 00:03:07.377
- And they refuse that thus.
- 00:03:07.377 --> 00:03:08.711
- And they have refused.
- 00:03:08.711 --> 00:03:09.579
- And they've said, we're not we're not
- 00:03:09.579 --> 00:03:10.647
- Going to talk about that.
- 00:03:10.647 --> 00:03:11.881
- The u.s.
- 00:03:11.881 --> 00:03:12.982
- And israel have said we do not want the iranian regime
- 00:03:12.982 --> 00:03:16.319
- A hostile, belligerent, warmongering regime
- 00:03:16.319 --> 00:03:19.622
- To have missiles that have it
- 00:03:19.622 --> 00:03:21.190
- In a range of more than 300 miles.
- 00:03:21.190 --> 00:03:23.493
- You can have shorter range for protection,
- 00:03:23.493 --> 00:03:25.862
- But not more than that.
- 00:03:25.862 --> 00:03:27.063
- The iranians are saying no.
- 00:03:27.063 --> 00:03:28.665
- And of course, israel
- 00:03:28.665 --> 00:03:29.832
- Doesn't want iran to continue to fund terror proxies
- 00:03:29.832 --> 00:03:33.636
- All around the middle east and wreak havoc and instability.
- 00:03:33.636 --> 00:03:36.639
- But the iranians, they stick, they're sticking to their guns,
- 00:03:36.639 --> 00:03:39.709
- And they're saying, we're only going to talk about
- 00:03:39.709 --> 00:03:41.744
- Very specific parts of the nuclear deal. yeah.
- 00:03:41.744 --> 00:03:44.080
- What that means is their maximum doesn't meet us minimum.
- 00:03:44.080 --> 00:03:48.951
- And i don't think that these negotiations
- 00:03:48.951 --> 00:03:51.187
- Will lead to anything meaningful.
- 00:03:51.187 --> 00:03:53.089
- But i suppose that the u.s.
- 00:03:53.089 --> 00:03:54.490
- Administration needs to go through the motions
- 00:03:54.490 --> 00:03:56.459
- And give diplomacy a chance.
- 00:03:56.459 --> 00:03:58.361
- But we see the option which is on the table on the other side.
- 00:03:58.361 --> 00:04:01.431
- Yeah. jonathan, great breakdown.
- 00:04:01.431 --> 00:04:02.965
- And we saw this back in spring 2025. yep.
- 00:04:02.965 --> 00:04:06.302
- President trump gave the regime 60 days
- 00:04:06.302 --> 00:04:09.372
- To basically give up their nuclear program.
- 00:04:09.372 --> 00:04:11.307
- They did not.
- 00:04:11.307 --> 00:04:12.141
- Then israel and the united states
- 00:04:12.141 --> 00:04:13.676
- Went to work operation rising
- 00:04:13.676 --> 00:04:15.111
- Lion and operation midnight hammer.
- 00:04:15.111 --> 00:04:17.613
- It doesn't seem like the build up of u.s.
- 00:04:17.613 --> 00:04:19.549
- Forces in the region right now is coincidental.
- 00:04:19.549 --> 00:04:22.318
- Break down for us a bit.
- 00:04:22.318 --> 00:04:23.419
- This president trump has called it
- 00:04:23.419 --> 00:04:24.554
- An armada breakdown, a bit the assets that the u.s.
- 00:04:24.554 --> 00:04:28.391
- Has in the region right now at iran's doorstep,
- 00:04:28.391 --> 00:04:30.827
- And what that could mean for potential future action
- 00:04:30.827 --> 00:04:33.930
- Against iran.
- 00:04:33.930 --> 00:04:35.131
- So what we've seen is a very significant what we have seen
- 00:04:35.131 --> 00:04:38.401
- And are seeing, by the way, it's ongoing.
- 00:04:38.401 --> 00:04:40.503
- As we're speaking, there are more and more assets. every day.
- 00:04:40.503 --> 00:04:43.873
- Focused in the middle east.
- 00:04:44.474 --> 00:04:45.575
- So we're
- 00:04:45.575 --> 00:04:46.776
- Seeing strike and offensive capabilities based on the two,
- 00:04:46.776 --> 00:04:50.546
- Battle groups, the lincoln and the ford incoming,
- 00:04:50.546 --> 00:04:53.649
- Which have tremendous firepower.
- 00:04:53.649 --> 00:04:55.551
- We're talking about serious firepower
- 00:04:55.551 --> 00:04:57.553
- Capable of striking everywhere in iran and doing so with
- 00:04:57.553 --> 00:05:01.424
- The very high level of troop security for american airmen.
- 00:05:01.424 --> 00:05:05.728
- But we're also talking about air defense,
- 00:05:05.728 --> 00:05:08.064
- Missile defense for various u.s.
- 00:05:08.064 --> 00:05:10.233
- Assets in the region,
- 00:05:10.233 --> 00:05:11.467
- And i suppose also in assistance to israel
- 00:05:11.467 --> 00:05:14.637
- And a lot of supplementary capabilities
- 00:05:14.637 --> 00:05:18.040
- That are strategic in terms of intel command and control.
- 00:05:18.040 --> 00:05:21.644
- There are also reports of special forces
- 00:05:21.644 --> 00:05:24.580
- That are in the region that have the ability to conduct
- 00:05:24.580 --> 00:05:27.750
- Special forces operations inside iran.
- 00:05:27.750 --> 00:05:30.019
- If the president decides to go down that path, which
- 00:05:30.019 --> 00:05:33.956
- I think shouldn't be.
- 00:05:33.956 --> 00:05:35.925
- I think we should still entertain that option.
- 00:05:36.893 --> 00:05:38.761
- That is an option that is on the table.
- 00:05:38.761 --> 00:05:40.596
- But what the u.s.
- 00:05:40.596 --> 00:05:41.431
- Has is a real variety of options,
- 00:05:41.431 --> 00:05:45.601
- And it really matters what the u.s.
- 00:05:45.601 --> 00:05:47.703
- Wants to achieve.
- 00:05:47.703 --> 00:05:48.871
- Last word about the iranian people.
- 00:05:48.871 --> 00:05:50.640
- You know, the iranian people,
- 00:05:50.640 --> 00:05:52.074
- They are now commemorating more than 40 days since the massacre
- 00:05:52.074 --> 00:05:56.913
- Of thousands, tens of thousands of iranians on iranian streets.
- 00:05:56.913 --> 00:06:01.551
- And they are still waiting for that help to arrive.
- 00:06:01.551 --> 00:06:04.620
- And they're holding their breath.
- 00:06:04.620 --> 00:06:06.422
- I believe that they will not be disappointed
- 00:06:06.422 --> 00:06:09.091
- And that they will get the support
- 00:06:09.091 --> 00:06:10.660
- That was pledged to them at the end of the day.
- 00:06:10.660 --> 00:06:14.063
- If the iranian regime gets away with doing what they did
- 00:06:14.063 --> 00:06:16.899
- With butchering civilians on the street,
- 00:06:16.899 --> 00:06:18.901
- Then every dictator in the world will know that
- 00:06:18.901 --> 00:06:21.871
- It's open season and every crime will go unpunished.
- 00:06:21.871 --> 00:06:25.741
- So that's not the message that we want to
- 00:06:25.741 --> 00:06:28.010
- Deliver to the world, i think, jonathan.
- 00:06:28.010 --> 00:06:29.879
- Well said.
- 00:06:29.879 --> 00:06:30.713
- And especially because president trump
- 00:06:30.713 --> 00:06:32.148
- Drew that red line, he promised help was on the way.
- 00:06:32.148 --> 00:06:34.784
- He's got to follow through for the u.s.
- 00:06:34.784 --> 00:06:36.719
- To keep that credibility.
- 00:06:36.719 --> 00:06:37.887
- And again, as you said, tyrants would be emboldened.
- 00:06:37.887 --> 00:06:39.822
- China, russia, etc.. more with our good friend
- 00:06:39.822 --> 00:06:42.625
- Jonathan conricus after the break.
- 00:06:42.625 --> 00:06:44.260
- How will iran respond to a potential u.s.
- 00:06:44.260 --> 00:06:47.230
- Attack? will israel get involved?
- 00:06:47.230 --> 00:06:49.232
- What about gaza?
- 00:06:49.232 --> 00:06:50.266
- What about turkey?
- 00:06:50.266 --> 00:06:51.367
- A new threat rising
- 00:06:51.367 --> 00:06:52.502
- Much more with jonathan conricus after the break.
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- Stick around.
- 00:06:55.738 --> 00:06:59.002
- Stick around.
- 00:06:59.002 --> 00:07:02.637
- Welcome back to stakelbeck tonight.
- 00:07:03.404 --> 00:07:04.839
- We're talking our good friend, lieutenant colonel
- 00:07:04.839 --> 00:07:06.508
- Jonathan conricus, former international spokesman
- 00:07:06.508 --> 00:07:08.843
- For the israel defense forces,
- 00:07:08.843 --> 00:07:10.378
- Senior fellow at a great organization, folks.
- 00:07:10.378 --> 00:07:12.714
- Check him out ftd.org.
- 00:07:12.714 --> 00:07:15.016
- The foundation
- 00:07:15.016 --> 00:07:16.217
- For defense of democracies in washington, d.c., of course.
- 00:07:16.217 --> 00:07:18.987
- Follow jonathan on action across social media.
- 00:07:18.987 --> 00:07:21.923
- Okay, jonathan, israel and the u.s.
- 00:07:21.923 --> 00:07:24.192
- Intensive talks here about the iran threat.
- 00:07:24.192 --> 00:07:26.794
- Prime minister
- 00:07:26.794 --> 00:07:27.896
- Netanyahu is at the white house with president trump
- 00:07:27.896 --> 00:07:29.264
- Their seventh meeting in just a year.
- 00:07:29.264 --> 00:07:31.332
- By the way,
- 00:07:31.332 --> 00:07:32.500
- Is there the potential
- 00:07:32.500 --> 00:07:33.801
- For israel to come alongside the united states in
- 00:07:33.801 --> 00:07:37.405
- This potential?
- 00:07:37.405 --> 00:07:38.606
- We still have to say assault against the iranian regime.
- 00:07:38.606 --> 00:07:42.043
- The potential's there.
- 00:07:42.043 --> 00:07:43.044
- This is a us led operation.
- 00:07:43.044 --> 00:07:45.280
- Israel will not do anything unless it is approved
- 00:07:45.280 --> 00:07:49.584
- And coordinated with the americans.
- 00:07:49.584 --> 00:07:51.452
- I think you could read
- 00:07:51.452 --> 00:07:52.420
- That very clearly from the readout between
- 00:07:52.420 --> 00:07:55.290
- Prime minister netanyahu and the president.
- 00:07:55.290 --> 00:07:57.191
- This is us led and us sets the tone here.
- 00:07:57.191 --> 00:08:00.094
- Israel will, of course, defend itself.
- 00:08:00.094 --> 00:08:02.063
- So if the iranians decide to attack israel unprovoked,
- 00:08:02.063 --> 00:08:05.833
- Israel will defend itself.
- 00:08:05.833 --> 00:08:07.268
- And israel is equipped with the air force
- 00:08:07.268 --> 00:08:09.470
- And the intelligence that we need
- 00:08:09.470 --> 00:08:11.005
- In order to defend ourselves.
- 00:08:11.005 --> 00:08:12.340
- But the us is in the lead here.
- 00:08:12.340 --> 00:08:14.776
- I think israel would
- 00:08:14.776 --> 00:08:15.877
- Be very happy to do anything supportive of u.s.
- 00:08:15.877 --> 00:08:19.614
- Operations from an israeli perspective,
- 00:08:19.614 --> 00:08:21.983
- And this one is slightly different from the u.s.
- 00:08:21.983 --> 00:08:23.751
- Perspective.
- 00:08:23.751 --> 00:08:24.919
- Israel sees the iranian regime as the source of countless
- 00:08:24.919 --> 00:08:29.857
- Murders, terror attacks and suffering in israel.
- 00:08:29.857 --> 00:08:32.894
- This is the nation state that has been providing weapons
- 00:08:32.894 --> 00:08:35.964
- And money to all of our enemies going back 3035 years.
- 00:08:35.964 --> 00:08:40.468
- Head of the snake. it's head of the snake.
- 00:08:40.468 --> 00:08:42.070
- And i think israelis understand that we have a narrow window
- 00:08:42.070 --> 00:08:45.340
- Of opportunity here to do good
- 00:08:45.340 --> 00:08:47.275
- For the iranian people, which is important,
- 00:08:47.275 --> 00:08:49.544
- But ultimately for israel is to safeguard our future.
- 00:08:49.544 --> 00:08:52.947
- The iranian regime is a threat to israel's future.
- 00:08:52.947 --> 00:08:56.317
- It is a threat to regional stability.
- 00:08:56.317 --> 00:08:58.286
- Therefore, i think we have a window of opportunity here
- 00:08:58.286 --> 00:09:00.888
- And based on us lead what the president will decide.
- 00:09:00.888 --> 00:09:04.359
- Israel will,
- 00:09:04.359 --> 00:09:05.526
- I think, happily join in and seek to take the opportunity
- 00:09:05.526 --> 00:09:09.030
- To really change the trajectory of the middle east here
- 00:09:09.030 --> 00:09:12.367
- For the better. yes, for the region to.
- 00:09:12.367 --> 00:09:14.002
- Provide opportunities for peace, to free the iranian people
- 00:09:14.002 --> 00:09:17.739
- From tyranny, 47 years of tyranny.
- 00:09:17.739 --> 00:09:20.341
- They may be freed from that.
- 00:09:20.341 --> 00:09:22.043
- And just think about the prosperity
- 00:09:22.043 --> 00:09:23.945
- That could be unleashed.
- 00:09:23.945 --> 00:09:24.946
- Think about the commerce.
- 00:09:24.946 --> 00:09:26.814
- Think about the cooperation, the economy, the culture,
- 00:09:26.814 --> 00:09:29.784
- All of the things that can be built.
- 00:09:29.784 --> 00:09:31.653
- If the islamic regime is really relegated
- 00:09:31.653 --> 00:09:34.789
- To the dustbin of history.
- 00:09:34.789 --> 00:09:36.157
- What a tremendous and beautiful thing that could be.
- 00:09:36.157 --> 00:09:38.626
- And, you know, even though things are a bit shaky now.
- 00:09:38.626 --> 00:09:42.330
- Yeah, i am positive that that will be the end result.
- 00:09:42.330 --> 00:09:45.099
- No, no doubt. and we have the abraham accords.
- 00:09:45.099 --> 00:09:47.335
- Of course, some have talked
- 00:09:47.335 --> 00:09:48.369
- About the cyrus accords between israel and iran.
- 00:09:48.369 --> 00:09:51.439
- Who knows? god willing. yes.
- 00:09:51.439 --> 00:09:53.708
- Iran still blustering, of course.
- 00:09:53.708 --> 00:09:56.544
- They see the us military built up and they're still
- 00:09:56.544 --> 00:09:59.414
- Boasting and blustering, making threats. yep.
- 00:09:59.414 --> 00:10:02.283
- What do you think iran's response might be, jonathan?
- 00:10:02.283 --> 00:10:04.852
- Do they? you and i were talking off camera a bit.
- 00:10:04.852 --> 00:10:06.654
- These are theological zealots.
- 00:10:06.654 --> 00:10:08.356
- They're islamic radicals. jihadists. yeah.
- 00:10:08.356 --> 00:10:10.858
- Do they try to go out, in their view,
- 00:10:10.858 --> 00:10:12.694
- In a blaze of glory, fire ballistic missiles
- 00:10:12.694 --> 00:10:14.829
- At israel, u.s. forces in the region?
- 00:10:14.829 --> 00:10:17.465
- And i guess that's where israel's very strong
- 00:10:17.465 --> 00:10:19.867
- Missile defenses really play a big part.
- 00:10:19.867 --> 00:10:22.170
- You know, i'm very grateful to be in this current situation
- 00:10:22.170 --> 00:10:25.239
- Where the military balance of power between
- 00:10:25.239 --> 00:10:28.743
- Iran and israel is in israel's favor.
- 00:10:28.743 --> 00:10:32.714
- Yeah.
- 00:10:32.714 --> 00:10:33.614
- I think the 12 days operation midnight
- 00:10:33.614 --> 00:10:34.982
- Hammer and rising, leon proved that iran is exposed.
- 00:10:34.982 --> 00:10:38.853
- Iran is a bit of a paper tiger.
- 00:10:38.853 --> 00:10:41.355
- They may talk tough,
- 00:10:41.355 --> 00:10:42.757
- But they do not deliver on the battlefield.
- 00:10:42.757 --> 00:10:45.193
- They're very good at sending other people to die for them.
- 00:10:45.193 --> 00:10:48.196
- Arabs.
- 00:10:48.196 --> 00:10:49.130
- There are different proxies that they use.
- 00:10:49.130 --> 00:10:50.765
- They're not so tough
- 00:10:50.765 --> 00:10:51.699
- When it comes to fighting themselves,
- 00:10:51.699 --> 00:10:53.501
- And they're perhaps not so skilled
- 00:10:53.501 --> 00:10:54.936
- As they believe that they would be.
- 00:10:54.936 --> 00:10:56.838
- No room for complacency here, but i think that the iranians
- 00:10:56.838 --> 00:10:59.874
- Will take lessons from the last year, from 2025.
- 00:10:59.874 --> 00:11:04.612
- I think they understand that
- 00:11:04.612 --> 00:11:05.847
- They will have a very narrow window of opportunity to fire
- 00:11:05.847 --> 00:11:09.617
- Everything they have at israel, because
- 00:11:09.617 --> 00:11:11.753
- Everything that will fire will be targeted afterwards.
- 00:11:11.753 --> 00:11:15.189
- So in israel, what we are anticipating
- 00:11:15.189 --> 00:11:17.558
- Is a massive barrage of ballistic missiles.
- 00:11:17.558 --> 00:11:21.295
- And just for viewers to understand
- 00:11:21.295 --> 00:11:22.764
- What we're dealing with,
- 00:11:22.764 --> 00:11:23.898
- We're talking about objects the size of a school bus
- 00:11:23.898 --> 00:11:27.135
- With about either half a tonne or a ton of explosives
- 00:11:27.135 --> 00:11:31.105
- That obliterates everything that it touches on impact.
- 00:11:31.105 --> 00:11:35.243
- So it's a serious threat for israeli civilians.
- 00:11:35.243 --> 00:11:37.645
- We had more than 80
- 00:11:37.645 --> 00:11:39.046
- Israeli civilians killed in in that operation, sadly.
- 00:11:39.046 --> 00:11:43.117
- So it's a significant threat.
- 00:11:43.117 --> 00:11:44.685
- But at the end of the day, all all said and done,
- 00:11:44.685 --> 00:11:47.588
- The iranians can talk tough,
- 00:11:47.588 --> 00:11:49.190
- But i think they are running out of military options.
- 00:11:49.190 --> 00:11:52.193
- And i think,
- 00:11:52.193 --> 00:11:53.361
- You know, beyond bluster, i think they know, you know,
- 00:11:53.361 --> 00:11:56.864
- What the situation really is
- 00:11:56.864 --> 00:11:58.499
- And that it wouldn't turn out well if they attack israel.
- 00:11:58.499 --> 00:12:01.235
- Yeah. no doubt.
- 00:12:01.235 --> 00:12:01.936
- Speaking of
- 00:12:01.936 --> 00:12:03.137
- Kind of on their last legs, but still blustering hamas.
- 00:12:03.137 --> 00:12:06.340
- Shifting gears a bit, jonathan
- 00:12:06.340 --> 00:12:07.642
- Still refusing to disarm in gaza as the u.s.
- 00:12:07.642 --> 00:12:10.912
- Wants to push forward into phase two of this gaza peace plan.
- 00:12:10.912 --> 00:12:14.515
- The board of peace now president trump has established.
- 00:12:14.515 --> 00:12:17.752
- What's the latest there in gaza?
- 00:12:17.752 --> 00:12:20.154
- Hamas still not disarming.
- 00:12:20.154 --> 00:12:21.722
- It seems like a bit of a stalemate.
- 00:12:21.722 --> 00:12:23.357
- There in that regard.
- 00:12:23.357 --> 00:12:24.325
- Give us an update on the state of play
- 00:12:24.325 --> 00:12:26.093
- On the ground in gaza right now.
- 00:12:26.093 --> 00:12:27.495
- Yeah, the state of play.
- 00:12:27.495 --> 00:12:28.462
- Is that the there's the yellow line
- 00:12:28.462 --> 00:12:30.164
- That separates
- 00:12:30.164 --> 00:12:31.032
- Between the area that hamas controls
- 00:12:31.032 --> 00:12:32.733
- And the area that israel controls.
- 00:12:32.733 --> 00:12:34.902
- Virtually half of the gaza strip is in hamas's hands.
- 00:12:34.902 --> 00:12:38.172
- And i'll be blunt,
- 00:12:38.172 --> 00:12:39.240
- I am not happy with the current developments.
- 00:12:39.240 --> 00:12:41.342
- I see that hamas has the political backing
- 00:12:41.342 --> 00:12:44.512
- Of turkey and qatar, and unfortunately
- 00:12:44.512 --> 00:12:47.682
- They are not going to disarm unless israel disarms them.
- 00:12:47.682 --> 00:12:52.486
- And what that is, is a recipe for future instability.
- 00:12:52.486 --> 00:12:57.158
- It means that hamas will continue to be present.
- 00:12:57.158 --> 00:13:00.027
- Perhaps one degree of separation
- 00:13:00.027 --> 00:13:02.196
- Between the
- 00:13:02.196 --> 00:13:03.264
- Technocratic government
- 00:13:03.264 --> 00:13:04.699
- That is supposed to lead gaza in the day over.
- 00:13:04.699 --> 00:13:06.834
- But at the end of the day,
- 00:13:06.834 --> 00:13:08.102
- You know, it's just like when you have an equation
- 00:13:08.102 --> 00:13:10.671
- Of multiplication and you put zero somewhere
- 00:13:10.671 --> 00:13:13.708
- In that equation that turns everything into zero.
- 00:13:13.708 --> 00:13:16.944
- An armed hamas in gaza means that all of the beautiful
- 00:13:16.944 --> 00:13:20.514
- Efforts that are now being undertaken,
- 00:13:20.514 --> 00:13:22.350
- They will eventually boil down to zero because hamas will drag
- 00:13:22.350 --> 00:13:26.754
- Gaza to war again.
- 00:13:26.754 --> 00:13:28.155
- And that's something that i think
- 00:13:28.155 --> 00:13:29.090
- We really need to prevent from happening.
- 00:13:29.090 --> 00:13:31.259
- That's still the future that we can influence.
- 00:13:31.259 --> 00:13:34.695
- Currently, i am not very happy when i look at the situation
- 00:13:34.695 --> 00:13:38.065
- Because hamas has too much political backing,
- 00:13:38.065 --> 00:13:41.302
- Arrogance, and they're saying we're not going to disarm of
- 00:13:41.302 --> 00:13:44.438
- Our weapons.
- 00:13:44.438 --> 00:13:45.306
- You and i know that
- 00:13:45.306 --> 00:13:46.374
- The only force that can disarm hamas will be the idf,
- 00:13:46.374 --> 00:13:50.211
- And hopefully you won't have to do it,
- 00:13:50.211 --> 00:13:52.213
- But that is the way it's looking.
- 00:13:52.213 --> 00:13:53.948
- Yeah, it seems inevitable, jonathan, as you said,
- 00:13:53.948 --> 00:13:57.084
- Hamas will not lay down its arms. no.
- 00:13:57.084 --> 00:13:59.120
- And the idf is going to have to go back in.
- 00:13:59.120 --> 00:14:01.088
- It seems inevitable.
- 00:14:01.088 --> 00:14:02.523
- You mentioned turkey along with qatar.
- 00:14:02.523 --> 00:14:04.892
- Yeah, but turkey just opened a mosque in gaza.
- 00:14:04.892 --> 00:14:08.396
- We just learned
- 00:14:08.396 --> 00:14:09.530
- And they're making moves there at israel's doorstep.
- 00:14:09.530 --> 00:14:11.565
- You've been following turkey very closely.
- 00:14:11.565 --> 00:14:13.367
- I have to discuss that
- 00:14:13.367 --> 00:14:14.702
- With jonathan conricus after the break, folks.
- 00:14:14.702 --> 00:14:16.837
- Remember.
- 00:14:16.837 --> 00:14:18.005
- Turkey wields the second largest military in all of nato.
- 00:14:18.005 --> 00:14:21.575
- It's a nato member nation led by a radical islamist.
- 00:14:21.575 --> 00:14:25.313
- Not good.
- 00:14:25.313 --> 00:14:26.247
- We'll give you the break down
- 00:14:26.247 --> 00:14:27.248
- After the break with jonathan conricus again.
- 00:14:27.248 --> 00:14:28.983
- Follow him across social media and@fda.org.
- 00:14:28.983 --> 00:14:33.454
- Stick around.
- 00:14:33.821 --> 00:14:36.993
- Stick around.
- 00:14:36.993 --> 00:14:40.424
- Welcome back to stakelbeck tonight.
- 00:14:41.191 --> 00:14:42.793
- We're talking to jonathan conricus, getting a breakdown
- 00:14:42.793 --> 00:14:45.062
- On the state of play in the middle east
- 00:14:45.062 --> 00:14:46.897
- And why it matters to you, jonathan turkey
- 00:14:46.897 --> 00:14:50.334
- Is a big problem.
- 00:14:50.767 --> 00:14:52.069
- You've been sound the alarm about this for years really,
- 00:14:52.069 --> 00:14:54.471
- Especially more and more in the past few months.
- 00:14:54.471 --> 00:14:57.841
- Recep erdogan, the turkish president, is
- 00:14:57.841 --> 00:15:00.844
- He's muslim brotherhood. he's a radical islamist.
- 00:15:00.844 --> 00:15:03.547
- It's pretty clear.
- 00:15:03.547 --> 00:15:05.048
- And yet it's a nato member nation
- 00:15:05.048 --> 00:15:07.918
- That's making threats towards israel.
- 00:15:07.918 --> 00:15:10.153
- He covets jerusalem.
- 00:15:10.153 --> 00:15:11.388
- He talks about this all very openly, and he's
- 00:15:11.388 --> 00:15:14.491
- Digging his claws into gaza now at israel's doorstep.
- 00:15:14.491 --> 00:15:17.828
- Talk a bit more about this current
- 00:15:17.828 --> 00:15:19.463
- Turkish leader and government,
- 00:15:19.463 --> 00:15:21.331
- And why it's so problematic for israel and the west.
- 00:15:21.331 --> 00:15:23.900
- I think americans should understand
- 00:15:23.900 --> 00:15:25.802
- That erdogan is an imperialist.
- 00:15:25.802 --> 00:15:29.639
- He has dreams of reinstituting the ottoman empire
- 00:15:29.639 --> 00:15:33.377
- That once governed this area.
- 00:15:33.377 --> 00:15:35.379
- When you ask him
- 00:15:35.379 --> 00:15:36.380
- What his dreams are and what he wants to do,
- 00:15:36.380 --> 00:15:38.582
- You can see the twinkle in his eye
- 00:15:38.582 --> 00:15:40.450
- And you can see that he dreams of being a sultan.
- 00:15:40.450 --> 00:15:43.954
- Erdogan. that is his vision.
- 00:15:44.554 --> 00:15:46.390
- And he wants to take control over the region.
- 00:15:46.390 --> 00:15:48.692
- He has said clearly in turkish, not in english.
- 00:15:48.692 --> 00:15:51.428
- He won't say that in english for americans to hear,
- 00:15:51.428 --> 00:15:53.296
- But he'll say it in turkish that they are aiming for jerusalem
- 00:15:53.296 --> 00:15:57.067
- And they want to reestablish the glory of old days.
- 00:15:57.067 --> 00:16:00.937
- What that means when you couple that with the political islam
- 00:16:00.937 --> 00:16:05.342
- That they are promoting, which is islamism,
- 00:16:05.342 --> 00:16:08.712
- The primacy of sharia law, muslim extremists,
- 00:16:08.712 --> 00:16:12.616
- Sharia law over secular law, over civil rights, over justice,
- 00:16:12.616 --> 00:16:18.188
- That creates, i think, a threat that isn't only,
- 00:16:18.188 --> 00:16:21.158
- You know, about israel.
- 00:16:21.158 --> 00:16:22.325
- Most of the time, israel is just the first bulwark
- 00:16:22.325 --> 00:16:26.096
- That kind of gets the friction and and fights
- 00:16:26.096 --> 00:16:29.466
- A lot of very bad actors in the region.
- 00:16:29.466 --> 00:16:32.869
- But the ideology here isn't about israel.
- 00:16:32.869 --> 00:16:35.439
- It is about islamist domination.
- 00:16:35.439 --> 00:16:37.974
- And there are two strong forces that are driving that today
- 00:16:37.974 --> 00:16:41.211
- In the world.
- 00:16:41.211 --> 00:16:41.978
- Turkey is the muscle,
- 00:16:41.978 --> 00:16:43.580
- Qatar is the money, and that is how they are working together.
- 00:16:43.580 --> 00:16:47.317
- And you could see it all play out in gaza.
- 00:16:47.317 --> 00:16:49.686
- Gaza is kind of a microcosmos of that happening
- 00:16:49.686 --> 00:16:52.722
- Where you have these two countries working together.
- 00:16:52.722 --> 00:16:55.358
- They want to preserve
- 00:16:55.358 --> 00:16:56.927
- The local branch of the muslim brotherhood, which is hamas,
- 00:16:56.927 --> 00:17:00.664
- And they're doing it with money
- 00:17:00.664 --> 00:17:02.099
- And with diplomacy and with muscle.
- 00:17:02.099 --> 00:17:04.468
- But i think from an american perspective,
- 00:17:04.468 --> 00:17:07.304
- Americans should be aware that turkey is not a good
- 00:17:07.304 --> 00:17:10.073
- And loyal airline to the u.s..
- 00:17:10.073 --> 00:17:11.942
- It is not a good nato member.
- 00:17:11.942 --> 00:17:14.377
- It is a country that happily wants u.s.
- 00:17:14.377 --> 00:17:17.314
- Advanced tech.
- 00:17:17.314 --> 00:17:18.482
- But i think we should have
- 00:17:18.482 --> 00:17:19.449
- Serious doubts about how loyal they are.
- 00:17:19.449 --> 00:17:22.452
- And maybe some of the secrets
- 00:17:22.452 --> 00:17:24.187
- Of american tech will find their way to russia
- 00:17:24.187 --> 00:17:26.590
- And to china, because we know that turkey works with these two
- 00:17:26.590 --> 00:17:30.060
- Enemies of the u.s.
- 00:17:30.527 --> 00:17:32.028
- Not trustworthy, not positive,
- 00:17:32.028 --> 00:17:33.897
- Not aligned with american values.
- 00:17:33.897 --> 00:17:35.599
- It's a nato member essentially playing both sides of the fence.
- 00:17:35.599 --> 00:17:39.069
- You mentioned qatar.
- 00:17:39.069 --> 00:17:40.504
- Jonathan, as we see this
- 00:17:40.504 --> 00:17:41.571
- Iranian ring of fire hopefully receding.
- 00:17:41.571 --> 00:17:44.708
- Yeah.
- 00:17:44.708 --> 00:17:45.342
- Do you see this
- 00:17:45.342 --> 00:17:46.476
- Turkey qatar alliance becoming a new emerging threat?
- 00:17:46.476 --> 00:17:50.013
- As you said, turkey, the muscle the military might,
- 00:17:50.013 --> 00:17:52.149
- Qatar the money.
- 00:17:52.149 --> 00:17:53.116
- And then you've got syria
- 00:17:53.116 --> 00:17:54.751
- With the new former al-qaida commander led government.
- 00:17:54.751 --> 00:17:58.355
- Yep. could that be a problem?
- 00:17:58.355 --> 00:17:59.990
- Seems that syria may be in turkey's orbit as well.
- 00:17:59.990 --> 00:18:03.026
- It is.
- 00:18:03.226 --> 00:18:04.027
- And wherever you see the iranians
- 00:18:04.027 --> 00:18:05.896
- Receding, you see turkish forces trying to take their place.
- 00:18:05.896 --> 00:18:09.799
- We've seen that all over syria.
- 00:18:09.799 --> 00:18:11.434
- Yeah.
- 00:18:11.434 --> 00:18:12.502
- And, you know, the sad story is of the minorities,
- 00:18:12.502 --> 00:18:15.372
- The minorities in the middle east,
- 00:18:15.372 --> 00:18:17.340
- Whether it is kurds in north eastern syria, yazidis
- 00:18:17.340 --> 00:18:21.044
- In that area, druze in the south, or christians.
- 00:18:21.044 --> 00:18:24.414
- All of those minorities.
- 00:18:24.414 --> 00:18:26.049
- And we're talking about millions of people in total.
- 00:18:26.049 --> 00:18:28.885
- They are now under
- 00:18:28.885 --> 00:18:29.986
- Tremendous distress because this pact of evil forces
- 00:18:29.986 --> 00:18:33.890
- Turkey, syria, qatar, they're working together.
- 00:18:33.890 --> 00:18:37.427
- And it is very far from benign and tolerant.
- 00:18:37.427 --> 00:18:40.597
- It is about killing and abducting
- 00:18:40.597 --> 00:18:42.933
- And abuse and many things that are really horrible.
- 00:18:42.933 --> 00:18:46.603
- And that's happening now, and it's
- 00:18:46.603 --> 00:18:48.104
- Far away from the public eye.
- 00:18:48.104 --> 00:18:49.773
- And good people in america perhaps don't know about it,
- 00:18:49.773 --> 00:18:52.108
- But i think they should know
- 00:18:52.108 --> 00:18:53.677
- That under the umbrella of these countries, atrocities
- 00:18:53.677 --> 00:18:57.447
- Are being perpetrated against loyal american allies.
- 00:18:57.447 --> 00:19:00.850
- The kurds are loyal american allies
- 00:19:00.850 --> 00:19:02.953
- Who played a vital role in defeating isis.
- 00:19:02.953 --> 00:19:05.589
- Now they find themselves kind of with the short straw,
- 00:19:05.589 --> 00:19:09.326
- And the turkish are at their throats
- 00:19:09.326 --> 00:19:11.595
- With support of the syrian regime.
- 00:19:11.595 --> 00:19:13.330
- So, yes, there's a lot going on.
- 00:19:13.330 --> 00:19:15.432
- It teaches me, as an israeli to be strong, to be independent,
- 00:19:15.432 --> 00:19:20.670
- To be able to defend ourselves, but always also to try to
- 00:19:20.670 --> 00:19:25.809
- Reach out and help
- 00:19:25.809 --> 00:19:27.277
- Those different minorities, whether it's the kurds,
- 00:19:27.277 --> 00:19:29.813
- The druze
- 00:19:29.813 --> 00:19:31.047
- Or otherwise, you know, they're in for a very bad situation,
- 00:19:31.047 --> 00:19:34.317
- One that i think
- 00:19:34.317 --> 00:19:35.518
- Would be very much regrettable if it is allowed to happen.
- 00:19:35.518 --> 00:19:38.255
- No doubt the kurds, loyal allies,
- 00:19:38.255 --> 00:19:40.290
- The united states in the west for decades and decades.
- 00:19:40.290 --> 00:19:43.727
- Israel's. fighters, by the.
- 00:19:43.727 --> 00:19:45.061
- Way, no doubt the peshmerga very tough. i've been the.
- 00:19:45.061 --> 00:19:47.497
- Kurds have been there, i.
- 00:19:47.497 --> 00:19:48.598
- Mean, there yes, that is right. yeah.
- 00:19:48.598 --> 00:19:51.601
- Israel first line
- 00:19:52.035 --> 00:19:53.903
- Defense, jonathan, in my view, for western
- 00:19:53.903 --> 00:19:56.072
- Civilization are fighting the good fight for all of us.
- 00:19:56.072 --> 00:20:00.110
- What's the sense on the ground in israel right now?
- 00:20:00.110 --> 00:20:02.646
- I was in israel a few months ago.
- 00:20:02.646 --> 00:20:04.114
- To me, the morale seemed great.
- 00:20:04.114 --> 00:20:05.615
- People are saying we're going to do this. yeah.
- 00:20:05.615 --> 00:20:07.350
- Is that your sense living in israel as you do?
- 00:20:07.350 --> 00:20:09.486
- Yeah.
- 00:20:09.486 --> 00:20:10.520
- I mean, people are perhaps a bit battle weary.
- 00:20:10.520 --> 00:20:12.489
- You know, it's been two and a half years, almost of war.
- 00:20:12.489 --> 00:20:15.091
- Now there's been a certain respite.
- 00:20:15.091 --> 00:20:16.660
- We are extremely happy to have our hostages back home.
- 00:20:16.660 --> 00:20:19.896
- We hear more and more stories about, you know, the abuse,
- 00:20:19.896 --> 00:20:23.633
- Sexual abuse, psychological abuse that they endured.
- 00:20:23.633 --> 00:20:26.469
- Reports coming out just now.
- 00:20:26.469 --> 00:20:28.338
- So there's a drip of that happening.
- 00:20:28.338 --> 00:20:30.206
- But big picture strategically israeli's are strong.
- 00:20:30.206 --> 00:20:33.610
- The israeli economy is fantastic.
- 00:20:33.610 --> 00:20:36.212
- It's a miracle. people are hard at work.
- 00:20:36.212 --> 00:20:38.982
- People are industrious, disciplined.
- 00:20:38.982 --> 00:20:41.951
- And i think that there's this hope that maybe
- 00:20:41.951 --> 00:20:44.721
- If we play our cards right, if we stay true to our focus,
- 00:20:44.721 --> 00:20:48.224
- We'll be able to see a totally different
- 00:20:48.224 --> 00:20:50.593
- And more prosperous and peaceful future in the middle east.
- 00:20:50.593 --> 00:20:53.663
- If the iranian regime is undone,
- 00:20:53.663 --> 00:20:56.099
- There will be freedom for iran.
- 00:20:56.099 --> 00:20:57.600
- It will be a totally different middle east.
- 00:20:57.600 --> 00:20:59.703
- And that is, i think, what the israelis are hoping for.
- 00:20:59.703 --> 00:21:02.238
- And they understand that there's another episode of hardship
- 00:21:02.238 --> 00:21:05.075
- In between where we are now and that positive outcome.
- 00:21:05.075 --> 00:21:08.244
- And if you ask me,
- 00:21:08.244 --> 00:21:09.446
- Most people are willing to, you know, tough through it
- 00:21:09.446 --> 00:21:13.116
- And are ready to for an additional round of fighting.
- 00:21:13.116 --> 00:21:17.153
- If at the end we see a different and better future.
- 00:21:17.153 --> 00:21:20.357
- Yeah, absolutely.
- 00:21:20.357 --> 00:21:21.558
- About 30s left.
- 00:21:21.558 --> 00:21:22.692
- You're going into the belly of the beast yourselves.
- 00:21:22.692 --> 00:21:24.861
- Yourself? often? yeah.
- 00:21:24.861 --> 00:21:26.563
- Going on piers morgan debating anti-israel voices.
- 00:21:26.563 --> 00:21:29.799
- Tell us a bit about that.
- 00:21:29.799 --> 00:21:30.734
- You keep your composure always, jonathan.
- 00:21:30.734 --> 00:21:32.535
- Thank you.
- 00:21:32.535 --> 00:21:33.503
- Tell us about going into that battlefield,
- 00:21:33.503 --> 00:21:34.704
- The ideological battlefield, and why you do what you do.
- 00:21:34.704 --> 00:21:37.307
- I do what i do because i think, you know, some of the people,
- 00:21:37.307 --> 00:21:40.744
- I wouldn't want to be in the same room as them.
- 00:21:40.744 --> 00:21:43.680
- Some of the people that i debate,
- 00:21:43.680 --> 00:21:45.749
- Questionable their morals.
- 00:21:46.316 --> 00:21:48.418
- I think it's so important because a lot of
- 00:21:48.418 --> 00:21:50.286
- Good people around
- 00:21:50.286 --> 00:21:51.287
- The world are inundated with lies about israel,
- 00:21:51.287 --> 00:21:54.124
- With anti-semitism and just travesties.
- 00:21:54.124 --> 00:21:57.026
- And if i can be, you know, one drop in the bucket of one
- 00:21:57.026 --> 00:21:59.796
- Drop in the ocean of truth,
- 00:21:59.796 --> 00:22:01.598
- As i understand it, and try to represent it.
- 00:22:01.598 --> 00:22:04.467
- And i am thankful for the opportunities given.
- 00:22:04.467 --> 00:22:07.170
- That's what i want to do.
- 00:22:07.170 --> 00:22:08.271
- You're doing a great job, my friend.
- 00:22:08.271 --> 00:22:09.606
- Thank you.
- 00:22:09.606 --> 00:22:10.473
- Jonathan conricus folks ftd dot talk.
- 00:22:10.473 --> 00:22:12.909
- Follow him on x across social media.
- 00:22:12.909 --> 00:22:14.644
- Jonathan thanks again. great job as always my friend.
- 00:22:14.644 --> 00:22:16.780
- Coming up, final thoughts.
- 00:22:16.780 --> 00:22:19.115
- Don█t move.
- 00:22:19.115 --> 00:22:21.989
- Don█t move.
- 00:22:21.989 --> 00:22:24.887
- Welcome back to stakelbeck tonight folks.
- 00:22:25.754 --> 00:22:27.656
- If you like news about the middle east
- 00:22:27.656 --> 00:22:29.725
- How it impacts you israel, like we discussed tonight
- 00:22:29.725 --> 00:22:32.795
- With lieutenant colonel jonathan conricus.
- 00:22:32.795 --> 00:22:34.730
- Make sure to subscribe to my youtube channel.
- 00:22:34.730 --> 00:22:37.466
- It's watchmen, that's man.
- 00:22:37.466 --> 00:22:39.435
- Watchmen, tv.com.
- 00:22:39.435 --> 00:22:41.336
- We've just passed
- 00:22:41.336 --> 00:22:42.371
- 1.1 million subscribers for such a time as this.
- 00:22:42.371 --> 00:22:46.475
- Some great content that you won't see here on the show.
- 00:22:46.475 --> 00:22:48.944
- You can check out on our youtube channel.
- 00:22:48.944 --> 00:22:51.046
- So be sure to subscribe!
- 00:22:51.046 --> 00:22:52.748
- I think of israel, its future.
- 00:22:52.748 --> 00:22:54.283
- I think it'd be sequel 36, verse 24 for i will take you out of
- 00:22:54.283 --> 00:22:58.053
- The nations.
- 00:22:58.053 --> 00:22:58.720
- God said, i will gather you
- 00:22:58.720 --> 00:23:00.055
- From all the countries and bring you back into your own land.
- 00:23:00.055 --> 00:23:04.026
- And that is where
- 00:23:04.026 --> 00:23:05.060
- Israel will stay, regardless of iran, hamas, turkey
- 00:23:05.060 --> 00:23:08.997
- And all the rest.
- 00:23:08.997 --> 00:23:10.065
- Thursday night great iranian evangelist is with us.
- 00:23:10.065 --> 00:23:13.168
- Hormoz.
- 00:23:13.402 --> 00:23:14.269
- Shariat, also a former muslim, attacked
- 00:23:14.269 --> 00:23:16.638
- For his faith in great britain.
- 00:23:16.638 --> 00:23:18.040
- Folks, you will not want to miss that.
- 00:23:18.040 --> 00:23:20.409
- Until next time. god bless you.
- 00:23:20.409 --> 00:23:23.011
- We'll see you soon.
- 00:23:23.011 --> 00:23:23.011
